Reaganomics And The World Of 1983

(The Wolf at the front door is starting to look like the family pet)
The never ending story of the Economy, and the ever perplexing world of Reaganomics of the 1980s. Probably not a revelatory view, but one given by Donald C. Platten, who was in 1983 Chairman and CEO of Chemical Bank. The interview via CBS News Face The Nation on August 14, 1983 gives some indication where things were heading.
Donald Platten (Chemical Bank): “The feeling I personally go to bed with every night is that the economy will shortly stop being in a recovery mode, in other words we will have reached the former peak of the economy and that there will be a growth that we’ll be able to talk about as far as our economy in the months ahead. I think what is going on now in the economy is very healthy. I don’t think we have to worry about it being over exuberant. I think there will be a good economy going from now right straight through the year end into 1984. I think there will be pauses. I think in certain industries there’s going to be really no basic recovery in a significant way. I’m afraid that the problem of unemployment is going to continue with us for some time to come, and that really is the biggest thing in the country today. We’ve dispensed with the word Inflation, really. It’s a non-subject, why? Because it’s down to around 3 to 4 percent as against 14 percent a couple of years, so now the unemployment factor is the one that’s on most peoples minds. And that is going to continue down as the economy continues to grow, that it will not affect everybody as well as some other people, there’s no question about that.”
Hindsight and the reading of Tea Leaves. Twenty-six years ago they were doing it. Twenty-six years later, they still are.



This is why we need regulation. This is why Ayn Rand's philosophy is so wrong, and stupid.
We are prey. That is how we look to free marketers.
We, as a people, must use our power as a people to protect ourselves from those that would do us harm. Its kinda the whole damn idea behind being a 'society'.
They are not doing much to put the safeguards back in and the prescription Obama is listening to is borrow, borrow, our way out of it. The labor stat's they announced recently is hedonic BS, all you have to do is look at charts, these show the reality.
Now See The REAL State Of The US Labor Market
http://www.businessinsider.com/the-real-state...
Goodnight, Frau Blücher
Nearly thirty years, and they are still pissing on us.
Weren't we all supposed to be retired by 40 from all those wonderful returns from the equity markets.
A nation of investors we were gonna be! No more work!
Well, they were half right.
Vote GOP and move forward to the 18th Century.
When we stop leaving ourselves wide open to be financially raped by these soulless excuses for humans, when we stop living far beyond our means because of the siren call of easy credit, when we learn to SAVE money again, then we may have a chance. Until then, we're doomed .
in the trunk sticking out slowly cruising neighborhoods looking for mowing jobs in 2009 you know Reaganomics has succeeded.
they have been successful at creating a society of haves and have nots.
even the black savior has bought into the wall street version of a society.
but we must give credit where credit is due they have done well controlling congress white house and the media. and what most people dont realize the educational system with money for cooperation to teach capitalism the most destructive economic system the world has ever known.
capitalism = wars for profits, imperialism, profits off the sick and needy, profits off prisons, the rape of retirement benefits, the list is long and very immoral.
this country is the very defintion of immorality and corruption of the lower and middle class and neither has a clue what hit them.
in fact the middle class lined up to vote for reagan economics.
dutch reagan hated the middle class and the unions.
if you can control gov and the media it is clear sailing from there on.
check history the have mores have always been able to create a society of have nots.
we have not even began to see the lows we are living on borrowed and printed money now to maintain some level of wealth.
wait till the bottom falls out.
wealth can be as harsh of teacher as poverty what did we americans do with our wealth but have illegal wars?
the sad part the demos think their politicans represent them. they only pretend to represent to get their votes then they go with the corp lobbyists for money to get reelected.
follow the money then you will find who they really represent.
The trickle down theory still in action , the rich get richer while the rest of us get pissed on . As soon as I heard who Obama was picking for his economic team , the very same F'ers who had major roles in causing the economic collapse , the red flags went up , not a GD thing has changed .
"The poor have sometimes objected to being governed badly; the rich have always objected to being governed at all."
Barack O’Bilderberg: Picking the President
Considering who he met with in secret that weekend, and what happened immediately afterward, when you go hat-in-hand to meet with the wealthiest people on the planet and you then become President of the US, and some of those people become 'your' Cabinet members, can anyone be blamed for a degree of consternation?
"Twenty-six years ago they were doing it. Twenty-six years later, they still are."
Twenty-six years later it's the same people doing it -- and for the same reason. It's the "get the gummint so small it can be drowned in a bathtub" ploy. Of course, they mean the non-"defense" gummint, so it works out in practice that the terrifying size of the deficit is only brought up when it's non-defense spending at issue, so that that can be shrunbk to nothing. Higher defense spending is not at all a problem for this crowd, even though it adds much more to the deficit. Actually, the budget-busting nature of spiralling "defense" costs is a feature, not a bug. If your aim is to kill off the social programs, you have to have some huge spending items that you don't cut in order to keep the budget big enough that the budget knives stay out until the programs that you do want cut are all gone.
If there weren't any real threats to our nation to justify continued high levels of military spending even during peacetime, they would have to invent such threats just so that they could exploit high defense spending. Oh, wait, that's what they actually have been doing since WWII ended...
Unfortunately the Republicans have no idea how to manage the economy. They are terrible for the economy and for the debt. Democrats are the best financial managers of this country. Always have been and always will be. The Republicans always buy growth through using debt.
Let me give you a few numbers (sorry the table does not come out well on here, but I think you can see the numbers).
*President* *Start debt/GDP* *End Debt/GDP* *Increase Debt* *Increase Debt/GDP*
Roosevelt/Truman D 117.5% 93.2% 0.05 -24.3%
Truman Harry Truman 93.2% 71.3% 0.01 -21.9%
Eisenhower1 Dwight Eisenhower R 71.3% 60.5% 0.01 -10.8%
Eisenhower2 Dwight Eisenhower R 61.5% 55.1% 0.02 -5.4%
Kennedy/JohnsonD 55.1% 46.9% 0.03 -8.2%
Johnson Lyndon Johnson D 46.9% 38.6% 0.05 -8.3%
Nixon1 Richard Nixon R 38.6% 35.7% 0.07 -2.9%
Nixon2 Nixon/Ford R 35.7% 35.8% 0.19 +0.1%
Carter Jimmy Carter D 35.8% 32.6% 0.18 -3.2%
Reagan1 Ronald Reagan R 32.6% 43.9% 0.65 +11.3%
Reagan2 Ronald Reagan R 43.9% 53.1% 1.04 +9.2%
Bush GHW George H. W. Bush R 53.1% 66.2% 1.40 +13.1%
Clinton1 Bill Clinton D 66.2% 65.6% 1.12 -0.6%
Clinton2 Bill Clinton D 65.6% 57.4% 0.42 -8.2%
Bush GW1 George W. Bush R 57.4% 64.3% 1.88 +6.9%
Bush GW2 George W. Bush R 64.3% 75.5% 3.02 +11.7%
From the numbers you can see that the national debt as a percentage of GDP fell under every single Democrat since Roosevelt. You cannot say the same for the Republicans. Eisenhower was the last Republican to lower the debt as a percentage of GDP. Debt as a percentage of GDP went up under Nixon, Reagan (both terms), George H W Bush, and under both terms of George W Bush. In fact, the debt went up astronomically under Reagan and both Bushes. I would say this is pretty damning evidence that the Democrats are the party of fiscal responsiblity and the Republicans are the big spenders and unfiscally disciplined.
It is also well know that both the stock market and the economy do much better under Democrats. Check the empirical evidence. See these links:
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/ind...
http://www.slate.com/id/2199810/
http://money.cnn.com/2004/01/21/markets/elect...
http://www.slate.com/?id=2071929
So not only does the history tell us that the Democrats almost always cut the debt, but they also promote a strong stock market and grow the economy. They do not deficit spend for a better economy like the Republicans do.
If you are worried about the economy and the deficit why would you ever want to vote for a Republican, as their economic track record is terrible. I think Cheney was said that Reagan proved the deficit don't matter. Typical for the Republican party.
As far as Obama and the deficit.
The current deficits the country faces were years in the making and they can almost entirely be blamed on Bush.
The national debt itself doubled under Bush from about $4 trillion to $8 trillion. Bush left Obama with a 2009 budget deficit of $1.3 trillion, which was the number for 2009 before Obama even took office. Bush left Obama two unresolved wars, the worst economy since the great depression, and a huge debt.
I suggest you read this very good analysis of were the expected deficits and increase in the debt has really come from. It is analysis of what the CBO has said on the debt issue and who is to blame. Here is the link:
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/10/business/ec...
The deficit that is expected over the next three years can almost entirely be blamed on Bush, even if you factor in the stimulus bill. Healthcare reform is paid for.
Bush's deficit spending and the Bush recession are the biggest cause of the current expected deficits. Obama's agenda is estimated to only responsible for 3% of the increase in the deficit over the next three years and the stimulus plan another 7%, which never would have had to be done without the Bush recession. So at max Obama may be able to held account for 10% of the deficit, which took many years to build. In fact, if the stimulus helps pull the economy earlier out of the recession or limits its damage, the stimulus spending may have had a net positive impact on the deficit; ie. it helped tax revenues recover sooner.
Here is a summary of how it breaks out. There was a $800 million surplus when Clinton left office. Through 2009 to 2012 the country is expected to run a +$1.2 trillion deficit per year. Therefore there has been a $2 trillion swing in the deficit since Clinton's surplus.
This is how the deficit happened.
37% of the $2 trillion swing in the deficit came from the recession. ie. reduced tax revenue
33% came from legislation signed by Bush, including tax cuts and prescription drug benefits that were not paid for
20% came from Obama extending the Bush policies like the wars and tax cuts; but also the TARP
7% came from the stimulus bill
3% comes from the Obama agenda on healthcare, education, energy and etc.
Net-net more than 90% of the deficit expected between 2009 and 2012 can be blamed either directly or indirectly on the Bush years. The Bush recession, the Bush wars, the Bush tax cuts, unfunded drug bill, etc. In fact, you could argue that the 7% the stimulus bill will contribute is also Bush's fault because without the Bush recession there would be no need for the stimulus bill. And the stimulus bill is not just a negative contributor to the deficit, it also is likley helping tax revenues to recover, as it helps the economy.
This is one of the best posts I've read on how the repugs handle the economy. We've said before on C&L that Eisenhower would be considered some type of socialist in the modern day GOP for willing to tax America's richest at a rate of 91%. He also cut defense spending and was able to balance the budget. One question about the Bush recession or a recession under any president. Are recessions completely avoidable or can it be said that a president can mitigate (or worse exacerbate) the damage of an inevitable recession?
Your post really goes hand in hand with something posted awhile back here. Ten lessons for Teabaggers.
The Carter legacy has been re-written by conservatives to somehow suggest that he was an economic failure and Reagan was responsible for a the growth in the 80s. Complete BS. The reality is much different. Anyone who actually looks at the Carter economic record objectively, would understand two things. (1) Carter inherited an inflation, actually a stagflation mess that became much worse because of the oil crisis, which he had no control over. Not disimilar to Obama who also inherited a mess. (2) Carter made some of the very difficult decisions on raising interest rates to get inflation down, which initially hurt the economy, but many academics agree ushered in the 80s economic boom that Reagan rode until he destroyed it. Reagan essentially rode the good work of Carter in his first term and then exploded the economy in his second term, as he balloned the debt.Reagan completely mismanaged the economy.
Do a little reading here:
http://eh.net/bookreviews/library/0728
http://books.google.com/books?id=z5BwlqRzRAsC...
"Twenty-six years ago they were doing it. Twenty-six years later, they still are."
For twenty six plus years I've been talking about it.
Vote GOP and move forward to the 18th Century.
True story. When Reagan was running for president against Carter I was just out of the Navy and working in a hospital. A nurse asked me who I was going to vote for. "Carter." I told her. "Well, I'm voting for Reagan because he will fix the economy." "How?" I asked. "Well, he has a degree in economics. You know, Reaganomics." I patiently explained to her that, no, he actually had a degree in Sports Broadcasting, from the 1930's, when it was in radio. That he knew basically jack shit about economics. She didn't believe me. I told her that it was okay if she didn't me that she should check it out for herself before she voted for him. I don't know if she did or not. It kind of shook me though, that people just assumed those kinds of things about others and voted accordingly. Good God, you don't suppose that people think that Sarah Palin has a degree in nuclear physics or medicine do you? Or geography.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/12/07/cong...
Larry Summers and Obama oppose reinstatement of Glass-Steagal being brought forward by ... 5 democrats. Who loves Ronnie 'gain?
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